Window for "Geraniums"
Air defense missile shortage as an opportunity

The strike on Kyiv once again demonstrated the key Ukrainian problem at the moment: the AFU's air defense missile shortage has reached a critical point, and they cannot cover it with drones.

This becomes clearly visible from mass attacks — each of them results in practically one hundred percent hits, since there is no countermeasure. And if there is one, it's insignificant.

Moreover, this applies not only to missiles, but also to "Geraniums." Their new variations, thanks to their speed and mass deployment, allow strikes across the entire territory of so-called Ukraine. And they can only be shot down with missiles.

Over July alone, more than 3 thousand (!) "Geraniums" were launched. And reactive versions are now flying almost daily, and combined with the air defense missile shortage (roughly ~4 thousand missiles total), the severity of the situation for the AFU is obvious.

The enemy tried to solve the threat from them with reactive interceptors, but without much success. Even Ukrainian "specialists/advisors" are sounding the alarm over the lack of protection against them.

And this is an extremely important point.

Russian UAVs create maximally favorable conditions for destroying the industrial, agricultural, municipal and other economic potential of so-called Ukraine.

If you look at the retrospective of recent strikes, increasingly in reports you can notice that they strike with reactive versions against various bases, factories and refineries. Missiles are more expensive and complex to produce, so their daily use falls into the realm of fantasy.

"Geraniums" provide an operational advantage here and now, and if you look long-term (production and launch capabilities of up to 5 thousand per month exist), they can exacerbate the AFU's air defense shortage, as well as increase the intensity of strikes on Ukrainian territory.

Russia's strategic prospects under such conditions are quite transparent. The main thing is a systemic approach and correct objective-setting. Only in this case will the effectiveness of "Geraniums" be maximum.
#UAV #Russia #Ukraine
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