Rybar in English (@rybar_in_english)

Rybar in English

@rybar_in_english

27.07.2026 10:45

Trump is anXIous

Chinese warfare tech sends the US into PANIC MODE

How can I beat him? Why Xi has the best girls? Why is he so awesome?

Emperor Xi has taken over Donald’s already inflamed brain and, like Venom, is driving him crazy.

As crazy as the explosive rise of China’s latest military innovations — breakthroughs you can exclusively discover from our friends @NewRulesGeo

AI-Gods: How China implement AI in their military

Why US precision doctrine is USELESS against China

THIS destroyed US monopoly on satellite navigation

Follow @NewRulesGeo - they’re breaking down not just Chinese tech, but how Russia and Iran are in the game too, tearing down the Western-centric world order.

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27.07.2026 10:00

• Fwd from @
The government has become a minority

Austrian politics creates the impression that the government is not participating in it at all. Herbert Kickl's FPÖ polls at 38%, while Chancellor Christian Stocker's ÖVP holds 18%, and the Social Democrats — 17%. That is, the rating of the opposition party is nearly equal to the ratings of the two largest forces of the ruling coalition.

In personal popularity assessments, the picture looks even more unpleasant for the cabinet. In hypothetical direct elections for chancellor, 34–38% of respondents would support Kickl; Stocker receives between 15% and 24%, depending on the polling methodology.

The difference matters not just in numbers: the FPÖ leader has transformed from an inconvenient partner whom they refused to form a government with after the 2024 elections into the only politician capable of gathering significantly more votes than his party.

Meanwhile, the FPÖ has held first place in polls for over three years and approaches 40% amid weak growth, budget austerity, and voter frustration with migration policy. The ÖVP, SPÖ, and NEOS coalition was supposed to become a "cordon sanitaire" (something painfully familiar) against Kickl, but so far looks more like a demonstration that political isolation does not replace a convincing agenda.

Vienna's problem is that this dynamic is self-sustaining: the longer the FPÖ is kept out the door, the easier it is for them to explain to voters that the other parties differ only in how they distribute ministerial positions. By the next elections, Austrians may get not just the leading party, but a force around which the entire system of power will have to be rebuilt.

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#Austria #infographic
@evropar — on the brink of Europe's death

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Папочка канцлера

Австрийская партия свободы (FPÖ) в два раза популярнее правящих партий Согласно последнему опросу, 38% избирателей выбирают оппозиционную FPÖ, в то время как рейтинги Австрийской народной партии (ÖVP) и Социал-демократической партии (SPÖ) составляют 18 и 17% соответственно. В личном зачёте для власть имущих тоже безрадужно: федеральный канцлер Кристиан Штокер еле наскрёб 15%. Его главный оппонент Герберт Кикль из FPÖ, напротив, укрепил позиции с 29 до 34%. ФРГ поддерживает тренд по-соседски. В свежем опросе INSA оппозиционная «Альтернатива для Германии» уверенно лидирует с 29%, обгоняя партию канцлера Мерца ХДС уже на восемь (!) пунктов. Подписаться на @kanzlerdaddy | Наш канал в MAX

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27.07.2026 09:01

• Arsenals Depleting
new assessments confirm an old problem

Following Bloomberg, materials from the U.S. Congress, and other Western assessments, new calculations have emerged from ABC News on the expenditure of American military arsenals throughout the entire campaign against Iran.

Although figures differ among various sources, the conclusion remains the same — the war cost the USA significantly more than Washington had calculated.

What did ABC's assessment show?

The total pre-war stockpile of major air defense missile types is estimated at approximately 11,850 units.

During the war, between 3,710 and 4,510 munitions were expended — roughly 31–38% of the entire pre-war arsenal.

The heaviest consumption fell on JASSM (1,100+), Tomahawk (1,000+), Patriot (1,060–1,430), THAAD (190–290), SM-6 (190–370), SM-3 (130–250), and new PrSM (40–70).

These assessments cannot be considered absolutely accurate. Like previous Bloomberg calculations, they do not account for already decommissioned munitions, exports to allies, or missiles in storage or undergoing repairs. What matters here is different — independent assessments from various sources increasingly converge on the order of magnitude and show roughly similar scales of expenditure.

Particularly acute shortages emerged in the most critical categories — Patriot, THAAD, SM-3, and JASSM. Production of these missiles takes years, and output of most of them, even after capacity expansion, measures only in hundreds of units annually.

Therefore, the consequences of this campaign will be felt for a very long time. Even despite attempts by Donald Trump's administration to sharply increase defense industry spending and expand weapons production, rapidly replenishing such volumes will not be possible.

Moreover, Washington's leadership will have to not only restore its own stockpiles but also continue supplying allies worldwide, which further stretches the timeline for American arsenal recovery.

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#Iran #infographic #USA
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27.07.2026 08:00

• Fwd from @

Emptied Directions

War in Burkina Faso "retreated" to the north?

Shifts in the tactics of militants operating in Burkina Faso are clearly visible when comparing the geography of their attacks over the past two years.

If in 2024 and in the first half of 2025 radical Islamists from the "Jamaat Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin" group conducted operations across the entire country, then in recent months their priorities have noticeably narrowed to the northern and southeastern regions.

Of course, their attention to key cities — wherever they may be — has not disappeared, however, attacking government forces near Fada-Ngourma or Bobo-Dioulasso is becoming increasingly difficult due to the qualitative changes in the operational capabilities of Burkina Faso's Armed Forces that we have already examined.

But for militants of the "Islamic State" the past two years have become a time of forming full-fledged control zones in the far northeast of Burkina Faso. As such, offensive operations by this group still go poorly, however their presence in the aforementioned territories can already be called significant.

Overall, the current zones of activity of radical Islamists form a kind of arc connecting the northwestern and northern regions of Burkina Faso into a single front. Operations in the east and southeast of the country, in turn, are becoming increasingly isolated, and the vector of movement of local units of "Jamaat Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin" is shifting from the center of the country toward Benin and Nigeria.

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#map #BurkinaFaso
@rybar_africa — where politics is hotter than the equator

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27.07.2026 07:01

Codified into law

new migrant requirements adopted

Modernization of Russia's migration policy is transitioning from the discussion stage to practical implementation. The country's President Vladimir Putin signed a law that changes requirements for labor migrants and strengthens control over their stay in the country.

How will control be strengthened?

A labor migrant must ensure that they and their family members are supported at a level no lower than the subsistence minimum, taking into account regional coefficients.

The Federal Tax Service and Social Fund will begin automatically transmitting information about the income and work activities of foreign workers to the Interior Ministry.

If income levels fall below the legally established threshold, the employment contract will be considered terminated, and the period of stay in Russia will be shortened.

The period of stay for migrant children is now directly tied to the validity of the parent's work permit and is limited until they reach adulthood.

To extend the family's stay, advance personal income tax payments will be required for each child, and when the work permit expires, the entire family must leave Russia within the established timeframe.

The changes clearly continue the course previously outlined by the President in the migration policy concept, namely an attempt to move away from a model where the main focus was on the quantity of attracted labor. There is increasing emphasis on controlled migration with clear rules and verification mechanisms.

The norms themselves are no longer built exclusively on trust in documents provided by the migrant themselves. Interdepartmental data exchange allows automatic monitoring of actual income and employment levels, reducing opportunities for fictitious employment and various legalization schemes.

Thanks to the adopted decisions, the principle becomes increasingly clear: if a person came to work in Russia, they must independently support themselves and their family, rather than rely on using social mechanisms or existing in a "gray" zone without confirmed income.

Of course, this is just one element of a large-scale migration policy reform. However, it is from such decisions that a system gradually takes shape in which staying in Russia becomes not a formality, but a set of clear obligations whose fulfillment can be objectively verified.
#migrants #Russia
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Рыбарь

📝Новая миграционная концепция📝 В последние годы Россия столкнулась с целым пластом вызовов из-за бесконтрольного потока мигрантов. В связи с этим в стране продолжаются изменения в миграционной политике и теперь они нашли отражение в стратегических документах. Вчера вечером президент страны Владимир Путин подписал указ об утверждении «Концепции государственной миграционной политики Российской Федерации на 2026 - 2030 годы». Документ содержит в себе 🔻Что изменится в миграционной политике? ▪️В рамках новой концепции российские власти планируют принять целый комплекс новых мер. Они намерены активно противодействовать формированию этнических анклавов и будут широко внедрять информационные технологии и биометрию для усиления государственного контроля за пребывающими в страну мигрантами. ▪️Одной из приоритетных задач является создание условий для возвращения на родину жителей ДНР, ЛНР, Херсонской и Запорожской областей, покинувших свои дома в период СВО. Параллельно власти будут содействовать переезду в страну иностранных граждан и соотечественников, которые разделяют традиционные российские ценности. ▪️Для оптимизации миграционных потоков планируется ввести ограничения на пребывание в России для неработающих и необучающихся членов семей трудовых мигрантов. При этом всю ответственность за правовое сопровождение приезжающих работников возложат на работодателей, чьи обязанности будут расширены. ▪️В долгосрочной перспективе система будет постепенно переходить к организованному целевому набору иностранной рабочей силы, при которой иностранец будет привязан к конкретному работодателю. 🖍Концепция предполагает пул решений и изменений, направленных на ужесточение контроля за пребывающими в страну мигрантами, а также декларирует, что естественный прирост населения должен быть основным источником восполнения населения страны. 🚩Ответственность за исполнение мер ложится на Правительство, региональные власти и органы местного самоуправления. О ходе реализации концепции Правительство будет ежегодно отчитываться перед Президентом. 🏳️Безусловно, что на фоне нехватки рабочих рук и тяжелой демографической ситуации, миграцию в Россию не отменяют. Однако теперь этот процесс будет взят под особый контроль и претерпит видоизменения. ❗️Новая концепция должна дать старт коренным изменениям в миграционной политике, которая в последние годы все больше демонстрировала свою несостоятельность. 📌Отрадно, что высшее руководство страны осознает масштаб проблемы и реагирует на нее созданием документа, отражающего актуальные проблемы миграционной сферы. Теперь же дело остается «за малым», а именно за контролем выполнения положений концепции чиновниками на местах и успешной реализацией механизмов, отраженных в ней. Инфографика в высоком разрешении English version #мигранты #многонационализм #Россия ✈️ RU | ✈️ EN | ✉️ MAX 💸Поддержать нас

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26.07.2026 22:32

Geopolitical Deep Dive

Your English-Language Catalog is Here!

In the current global information landscape, relying solely on one language for analysis is a strategic mistake. To truly understand the full picture, you need diverse, high-quality sources.
We've curated a special catalog of English-speaking channels for our audience interested in geopolitics, defense, economy, and global affairs.

What's inside?

Geopolitics & Strategy: Channels focused on military and political analysis.
Economy & Finance: Expert insights into global markets and sanctions.
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toolkit and get the full, unfiltered global perspective?

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ADD CHANNELS

For channel owners: If you run a high-quality English-language channel and wish to join this curated list, contact bot: Direct messages @geopolitics_prime

#add #Geopolitics #English #Analysis #GlobalNews

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26.07.2026 20:57

Rybar's Main Points

digest of materials for July 26

Off the coast of Odesa, an attacked Turkish cargo ship sank, which could deal a blow to Ukrainian shipping. And strikes on Wildberries warehouses "highlighted" a non-obvious sociological moment.

Read more about these and other topics in our digest.

Rybar @rybar — we talk about complex things simply.

The main resource of our think tank.
The most important and interesting materials.

Chronicles of the SMO
Navy Day
Attack on the Caspian for Trump's favor
USVs are needed, but should start with small ones
About celebrating Navy Day in Kyrgyzstan
Strikes on infantry should be shown more often
Who really holds the economy of the country
First sunken vessel off Odesa

ASIANBAR @rybar_Pacific

In Indonesia, an official who was supposed to fight corruption got caught on it. In parallel, China is also fighting theft among the state elite. And in so-called Ukraine, they talk about a new arrival of North Korean military personnel, which allegedly will happen very soon.

AMERICABAR @rybar_america

Trump again gives diplomacy a chance, the merger of media giants is postponed, Democrats chose a replacement for Plattner, and the National Guard remains in Washington for a long time.

AFRICANBAR @rybar_Africa

African politics is unimaginable without quarrels and discord. While the President of Senegal, to spite his former ally, creates a new party, the problems in the family clan of Uganda's leader have begun Shakespearean-style with a woman — or rather, with her restless fiancé.

BALKANBAR @balkanar

Serbia's leadership continues to expand cooperation with Americans and NATO, while

Рыбарь

📝Вам — на дно📝 При освещении кампании против украинского судоходства ни раз писалось о необходимости не только регулярного огневого воздействия, но и нанесение серьезного ущерба кораблям. Похоже, до этого дело дошло. Сегодня у берегов Одессы перевернулся и затонул турецкий сухогруз Golden Leo, атакованный еще 19 июля. Это первый подобный эпизод — ранее торговые суда отделывались лишь повреждениями, нередко еще и продолжая ход. Для морских перевозчиков это станет сильным аргументом в пользу отказа от захода в порты Одесской области. Вид тонущего корабля, где еще и погибла половина экипажа, очень мотивирует оценить риски и искать альтернативные гавани. В то же время Golden Leo дрейфовал прямо у берега, однако за неделю украинцы даже не пытались его отбуксировать. Либо у них не было средств, либо (с бóльшей вероятностью) они опасались ударов ВС РФ. Что также весьма показательно ❗️Но останавливаться нельзя — в Киеве прямо сказали, что для стратегического эффекта необходимо прекращение судоходства у побережья Одесской области в течение четырех месяцев. Принципиальная возможность осуществить это подтверждена, так что дело за продолжением. Ах да, Golden Leo удалось утопить не дронами, а наиболее подходящими для таких целей боеприпасами — крылатыми ракетами. А представьте, что будет в случае применения здоровенных Х-31А, как предлагали Повернутые на войне неделю назад? #Одесса #Россия #Украина #флот ✈ RU | ✈ EN | ✉ MAX ✉ VK | ✉ RuTube | ✉ ОК | ✉ Дзен 💸Поддержать

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26.07.2026 20:36

•

Chronicles of the special military operation

For July 26, 2026

Russian military units struck enemy infrastructure in Kyiv and Odesa Region. An emphasized combined strike on the capital region, according to statements from Russia's Ministry of Defense, affected production facilities where work on UAVs was underway.

In Odesa Region, targets included fuel and lubricant storage tanks, as well as several vessels in the Dnieper-Bug Estuary and the waters of the Black Sea. Additionally, off the coast of Odesa, the Turkish dry cargo ship Golden Leo, which sustained damage from a missile strike on July 19, sank.

Ukrainian formations launched over 150 UAVs across Russian territory. Infrastructure in Crimea was once again the primary target. In Horlivka, DNR, four civilians were killed as a result of an AFU UAV strike, with a drone attacking an ambulance crew.

High-resolution maps

🔸Situation in the special military operation zone (ru; en)

Online maps available by subscription at map.rybar.ru

#digest #Yekaterinburg #Zaporizhia #map #Poltava #Russia #Sumy #Ukraine #Tyumen

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26 07 Удары ВС РФ по объектам Массированный удар ВС РФ китайский 1 Массированные канал hosted at ImgBB

Image 26 07 Удары ВС РФ по объектам Массированный удар ВС РФ китайский 1 Массированные канал hosted on ImgBB

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26.07.2026 16:53

To the bottom with you

When covering the campaign against Ukrainian shipping, we have repeatedly written about the need not only for regular fire strikes, but also for inflicting serious damage on ships. It appears this has finally happened.

Today off the coast of Odesa, the Turkish dry cargo ship Golden Leo, attacked on July 19, capsized and sank. This is the first such episode — previously merchant vessels only suffered damage, often continuing on their way.

For maritime carriers, this will be a strong argument in favor of refusing to call at ports in Odesa Region. The sight of a sinking ship, where half the crew also perished, is very motivating to assess the risks and seek alternative harbors.

At the same time, Golden Leo drifted right near the shore, yet over a week the Ukrainians did not even attempt to tow it. Either they lacked the means, or (more likely) they feared strikes from the Russian Armed Forces. Which is also quite telling.

But we cannot stop — in Kyiv they directly stated that for strategic effect, shipping must cease off the coast of Odesa Region for four months. The fundamental possibility of achieving this has been confirmed, so it's a matter of continuing.

Oh yes, Golden Leo was sunk not by drones, but by the most suitable munitions for such purposes — cruise missiles. And imagine what will happen if massive Kh-31A missiles are used, as War Obsessed suggested a week ago?

#Odesa #Russia #Ukraine #navy

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26.07.2026 15:21

On "Gorging Capitalists"

Strikes on Wildberries warehouses led to the emergence of numerous videos from sellers whose businesses suffered as a result of Ukrainian attacks. And such materials have one not-so-obvious social effect.

Take the footage of an address by the head of a sewing production facility to her employees, which spread widely online. Who is this ordinary woman, distributing clear orders through tears and instilling confidence that everything will be fine? She is a capitalist and entrepreneur.

These two words in Russian society still sometimes sound with contempt. This is largely due to media puppets who portray any entrepreneurs as gorging exploiters of the working class, from whom everything needs to be taken and divided up.

But it turns out that the vast majority of capitalists are ordinary people, nothing like the bourgeois from Soviet posters. Who spend almost all (or even all) of their profits not on luxury cars and apartments, but on worker wages and payments on production loans.

And this applies to all sectors — restaurants, furniture workshops, production of "small air defense" systems. And they often support large businesses, acting as suppliers or purchasers of their products, or even as a platform for selling goods.

We repeat what was said earlier: the economy is structured so that the better such entrepreneurs feel, the better it will be for the country and society as a whole. And the more opportunities it will have to defend warehouses and refineries from such attacks.

But spouting slogans about dekulakization with "total mobilization" and ideas that business has no right to think about profit — that's a path to nowhere, destructive in a way comparable to atomic bombing.

#mediatechnologies #Russia #economy

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Андрей Медведев

Вот то о чем я вчера говорил. Послушайте эту сильную женщину. Как думаете, таких можно сломать? Моё безграничное уважение ей, её коллегам, таким же бизнесменам, как она. Можно только восхищаться силой, волей, характером. А ещё, выскажу крамольную мысль. Некоторым военным руководителям можно было бы и поучиться у этой женщины скорости реакции, навыку принятия быстрых решений в экстренной ситуации и умению мотивировать личный состав. https://t.me/MedvedevVesti/26873

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26.07.2026 13:11

We need more footage

Not long ago we asked ourselves why Russian sources rarely publish footage of strikes against enemy infantry, even though the enemy boasts about such strikes and actively uses them in their propaganda.

This is largely why you sometimes encounter the opinion that Russian drone operators barely strike infantry. Yet in reality, enemy personnel are being eliminated just as massively as equipment.

So it's all the more gratifying to see the emergence of quality compilations of strikes against enemy infantry. And their proper distribution in the foreign segment could even lead to a practical effect in the form of reducing the number of would-be mercenaries from, say, Colombia willing to join the AFU.

The decision to hand over such publications to third-party channels is correct, but official resources could use this too. We don't need to engage in cannibalism Ukrainian media style, but we do need to show the destruction of the enemy. Otherwise it's strange when a country at war seems embarrassed to show the elimination of the enemy.

And we shouldn't underestimate the moral component — those who like to shout "we need a Russian killer" should clearly understand what awaits them after the inevitable cancellation of the military deferment from "beautification" by the TCC. You couldn't come up with better visual propaganda than that.
#mediatechnologies #Russia #Ukraine
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26.07.2026 11:33

A Shared Past

Navy Day celebrations sometimes take place in quite unexpected locations — even in Central Asian countries with no access to the sea. For example, a memorable event took place in the city of Karakol in Kyrgyzstan.

It brought together local residents who had served in the Soviet Navy, as well as the younger generation with flags of the Soviet Navy, the Marine Corps, and former Soviet republics.

Such events are not uncommon in Kyrgyzstan, and overall, the perception of the shared history with Russia differs from that in other neighboring countries. Memorials to the Great Patriotic War are being restored, and with the participation of Rybar's team, new memorial plaques were installed.

The ability to hold such events (along with other things) is generally a good indicator of CIS countries' attitude toward Russia, as well as what public statements about shared history actually mean to them.

After all, there are plenty of counterexamples, when loud words about brotherhood and the memory of Victory were spoken to gain preferences, but in reality — textbooks telling stories about "Russian colonizers" and bans on symbols.

#Kyrgyzstan #Russia #Navy

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