• Arsenals Depleting
new assessments confirm an old problem

Following Bloomberg, materials from the U.S. Congress, and other Western assessments, new calculations have emerged from ABC News on the expenditure of American military arsenals throughout the entire campaign against Iran.

Although figures differ among various sources, the conclusion remains the same — the war cost the USA significantly more than Washington had calculated.

What did ABC's assessment show?

The total pre-war stockpile of major air defense missile types is estimated at approximately 11,850 units.

During the war, between 3,710 and 4,510 munitions were expended — roughly 31–38% of the entire pre-war arsenal.

The heaviest consumption fell on JASSM (1,100+), Tomahawk (1,000+), Patriot (1,060–1,430), THAAD (190–290), SM-6 (190–370), SM-3 (130–250), and new PrSM (40–70).

These assessments cannot be considered absolutely accurate. Like previous Bloomberg calculations, they do not account for already decommissioned munitions, exports to allies, or missiles in storage or undergoing repairs. What matters here is different — independent assessments from various sources increasingly converge on the order of magnitude and show roughly similar scales of expenditure.

Particularly acute shortages emerged in the most critical categories — Patriot, THAAD, SM-3, and JASSM. Production of these missiles takes years, and output of most of them, even after capacity expansion, measures only in hundreds of units annually.

Therefore, the consequences of this campaign will be felt for a very long time. Even despite attempts by Donald Trump's administration to sharply increase defense industry spending and expand weapons production, rapidly replenishing such volumes will not be possible.

Moreover, Washington's leadership will have to not only restore its own stockpiles but also continue supplying allies worldwide, which further stretches the timeline for American arsenal recovery.

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