USDINR continues to trade within a well-defined rising channel, reflecting an orderly and well-managed depreciation of the Rupee.
Both time and price symmetry stand out—the pace (speed) of depreciation has been remarkably uniform, suggesting active management BY RBI rather than disorderly FX stress.
Prices are now resting on a critical confluence zone:
Lower channel support
Psychological round-number support at 90.00
This area is pivotal.
Hold above 90.00:
The broader uptrend remains intact, keeping the controlled depreciation framework alive.
Decisive break below 90.00:
Risks a channel breakdown and signals a bearish reversal in USDINR (Rupee strength).
Downside levels on a breakdown:
89.00 – first support / prior congestion
88.00 – deeper retracement and earlier distribution zone
In short, 90.00 is the line in the sand. The next directional move will likely be dictated by how price behaves around this level.
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