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Venture Capital
@venture
16.02.2026 20:17
How traders hedge AI and crypto exposure with futures

As volatility rises around the AI trade and crypto, some investors are using futures to manage downside risk while keeping long-term positions.

� The logic is simple. If a portfolio drops, a short futures contract can rise in value and offset part of the loss. Because futures are leveraged, a relatively small margin can hedge a larger exposure.

� For broad equity risk, traders use S&P 500 or Nasdaq 100 futures. With tech concentration high, selling Nasdaq 100 contracts can hedge AI-heavy exposure. A Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 contract has a $2 multiplier. At 25,000 on the index, one contract equals $50,000 notional. A 5% drop would imply a $2,500 gain on the short contract, offsetting losses on a similarly sized long position.

� For crypto, futures exist on assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Solana. CME Group also plans to launch single-stock futures on more than 50 US names, allowing more targeted hedges.

Hedging reduces downside risk, but it also caps part of the upside. It works like insurance.

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