Victory Day parade in Moscow may not take place for the first time in 30 years. A decision to cancel or postpone it could be made over fears of strikes by new Ukrainian missiles capable of reaching Russia's capital within 10-30 minutes.

According to Z-blogger Ilya Tumanov ("Fighterbomber"), there are reports that Russian authorities have already canceled the aerial portion of the parade in Moscow and St. Petersburg and are considering postponing or canceling the ground segment.

A day earlier, Peskov gave an evasive answer when asked about a possible cancellation, saying: "We are preparing for the Victory Day celebrations." No further official statements have been made.

Preparations for parades have already begun in some cities - but there have been no such reports from Moscow or St. Petersburg.

Tumanov says that a rehearsal of parade formations was scheduled to take place at a training ground on Sunday, but it was canceled, and the troops were told they would return to their permanent bases "until further instructions." He suggested the parade could be moved to another date, as happened in 2020 due to COVID.

According to him, the reason is long-range Ukrainian missiles. Cruise missiles could reach Moscow in about 30 minutes, while ballistic missiles could do so in as little as 10 minutes.

"Imagine: 'Parade, attention!' - and a missile alert is announced. What would happen on the square and around it? It would be a major blow in media terms, even if nothing actually hits," Tumanov said.