Why do we still believe for Collectible Numbers of
$10,000-$50,000 until the end of 2025?
Let's compare Numbers with
one of the most recognizable skins in CS:GO
(Dragon Lore)
Collectible Numbers
Quantity: 136,566
Audience: ~900,000,000 (Telegram)
Rarity: 0.015%
Price: $1,500
Mintable: No
Creation time: December 2022
Age: 1 year 11 months
Dragon Lore Skin
Quantity: ~6500
Audience: ~30,000,000 (CS:GO)
Rarity: 0.022%
Price: $11,000
Mintable: Yes, from a Cobblestone Souvenir package, the probability is 0.0256%
Creation time: July 2014
Age: 10 years 4 months
As you can see, Numbers and Dragon Lore Skin have similar characteristics, except that Numbers are limited and Dragon Lore Skin can still be unboxed from a Cobblestone Souvenir package. But the main difference is that Dragon Lore provides only a visual advantage over the default skins. The advantages of the Collectible Numbers over regular SIM cards
have already been described by us, and it's not just visual!
Given this and the fact that the Dragon Lore Collection has been around since 2014 and Collectible Numbers
only since 2022,
we're predicting prices above $100,000 for Numbers over time (by about 2029..2032).
They will be a True Collector's Item in 2032, the way Dragon Lore is performing now, 10 years later in 2024.
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