Prediction Markets: 2025 BOOM → the BIGGEST NARRATIVE of 2026
In 2025, prediction markets suddenly became a mainstream product. And in 2026, it looks like this could be one of the
MOST POWERFUL NARRATIVES IN CRYPTO HISTORY
1. What are prediction markets?
A prediction market is a market of contracts tied to an outcome (usually in a YES/NO format)
Two giants you’ve definitely heard of:
Polymarket and
Kalshi are the brands that pushed prediction markets into the mainstream.
– According to public reports, total prediction market volume in 2025 reached up to ~$44B, with Polymarket and Kalshi named as the leaders
– The key isn’t just the volume – it’s how much users actually loved it: prediction markets offer a simple believe / don’t believe UX where probability is instantly visible in the price. Fast, clear, and way more engaging than just reading forecasts
– This has already become part of the info space: discussions, shares, memes. Basically, a new kind of social game around news – faster reactions, higher engagement, and you genuinely feel like you’re participating, not just watching
2. Telegram alpha: iGaming / prediction UI has already surfaced in beta 👀
Here’s the most interesting part: in late 2025, Telegram beta testers spotted Emoji Stake mechanics – a mini-game with a TON stake and a dice roll
Telegram is clearly cooking something interesting for us
3. Our reflection: how prediction + iGaming could be built into lending
We’re already brainstorming a couple of mechanics internally (no spoilers yet), but we’re definitely jumping on this trend
Why it makes sense for us:
→ Every user already has an asset/position/value in the app
→ So we can add an extra layer on top of lending
→ Where the value of a position works not only as collateral
→ But also as a ticket into iGaming and prediction mechanics inside the ecosystem
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