Cbonds: Global Bond Market
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The negative outlook reflects the risk that global trade tensions could weigh on projections for Slovakia's medium-term growth, against the backdrop of the high export exposure of its economy. This could hamper the government's fiscal consolidation efforts and keep its debt ratio on an upward trend.
The negative outlook reflects the heightened risks around Belgium's budgetary consolidation, given the already high government debt of 104% of GDP in 2024. It also signifies that risks stemming from current trade tensions could weigh on Belgium's economic growth prospects, as a key commerce hub in Europe.
The change in outlook to negative reflects downside risks to Cambodia's growth prospects, given significant uncertainty surrounding US trade policy and sweeping tariffs. Cambodia's export exposure to the US accounts for close to 40%, or close to 20% of GDP in 2024, one of the highest in the Asia-Pacific (APAC) economies.
The decision to change the outlook to negative from stable captures the risks that Thailand's economic and fiscal strength will weaken further. The already announced US tariffs are likely to weigh significantly on global trade and global economic growth, and which will affect Thailand's open economy.
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