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School of Hard Knocks
@sohk_1
10.05.2024 19:50
Few years ago, I co-authored a report on "The Future of War" which forecasted some of the politico-military trends & laid out the Cyclical Evolution of War Theory that is on full display today.

"...with all their importance,
technologies are only able to foster change in tandem with other components.
Their emergence & introduction facilitates the development of relevant skills and capabilities which in turn stimulates the emergence of new procedures to harness their potential.

Finally, implementing a specific procedure gradually creates a new situation that forms a certain perception of the new threat – the final element in the cyclical evolution of war.

As soon as this threat is perceived, a technology is conceived to respond to it.

From a political & military standpoint, threat perception is an important force determining
what technologies, ideas, & procedures are needed to counter threats.

These, in turn, create a new perception of threats thereby perpetuating the evolution of military practices."
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